Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.063588 0.071851 0.080330 0.089648 0.099573 0.109798 0.121103
2025-06-22 0.049665 0.061909 0.075150 0.090389 0.107303 0.125378 0.146028
2025-06-29 0.043228 0.058204 0.075060 0.095106 0.117991 0.143028 0.172225
2025-07-06 0.036257 0.052670 0.071863 0.095381 0.122895 0.153602 0.190019
2025-07-13 0.034524 0.052955 0.075088 0.102758 0.135648 0.172819 0.217366
2025-07-20 0.028350 0.046982 0.070199 0.100010 0.136183 0.177722 0.228154
2025-07-27 0.026219 0.045938 0.071155 0.104123 0.144674 0.191720 0.249309
2025-08-03 0.023087 0.043190 0.069674 0.105003 0.149102 0.200829 0.264698
2025-08-10 0.020251 0.040535 0.068069 0.105523 0.152930 0.209110 0.279031
2025-08-17 0.017251 0.037299 0.065432 0.104508 0.154695 0.214798 0.290206
2025-08-24 0.013639 0.032673 0.060549 0.100275 0.152197 0.215148 0.294872
2025-08-31 0.011152 0.029488 0.057422 0.098150 0.152187 0.218388 0.302883
2025-09-07 0.009748 0.028120 0.057063 0.100055 0.157784 0.229087 0.320647
2025-09-14 0.008148 0.026190 0.055781 0.100688 0.161810 0.237993 0.336469
2025-09-21 0.007685 0.026332 0.057629 0.105691 0.171589 0.254125 0.361191
2025-09-28 0.006340 0.024482 0.056221 0.105981 0.175070 0.262319 0.376173
2025-10-05 0.006537 0.025892 0.060048 0.113820 0.188668 0.283344 0.407032
2025-10-12 0.004878 0.022911 0.056546 0.110901 0.187732 0.285883 0.415015
2025-10-19 0.004555 0.022953 0.058027 0.115270 0.196648 0.300986 0.438612
2025-10-26 0.003787 0.021714 0.057236 0.116204 0.200850 0.310040 0.454683
2025-11-02 0.003077 0.020420 0.056239 0.116755 0.204478 0.318333 0.469797
2025-11-09 0.002304 0.018652 0.054245 0.115678 0.205780 0.323568 0.481044
2025-11-16 0.001398 0.015909 0.050175 0.111183 0.202150 0.322262 0.483949